The Process

From four data streams to one actionable forecast.

Most procurement teams track weather, USDA reports, freight rates, and spot prices as separate tabs. Helios AI ingests all four, weighs them against each commodity's historical patterns, and delivers a unified supply-risk forecast before your morning review.

4 Signal sources blended daily
50+ Commodities with active forecasts
30d Forward forecast window

Three steps from setup to daily forecast

Step 01

You tell us which commodities you buy

Select from 50+ agricultural commodities. Configure your geographic sourcing regions and delivery timeline. Helios AI maps your procurement footprint to the signal sources that matter most for each item.

Step 02

Helios blends four signals into one forecast

Every commodity gets a fresh model run each day. Weather anomalies, USDA crop progress, freight index shifts, and historical price seasonality are weighted and reconciled into a single supply-risk score with a 30-day price direction forecast.

Step 03

You receive your daily forecast report

Each morning your team receives a digest of supply-risk scores and price-direction bands for your tracked commodities. Pull the same data via API into your procurement system for automated trigger rules and alerts.

The four-signal methodology

Commodity prices respond to a set of recurring drivers. Weather affects yields. Yield projections affect carry levels. Freight costs affect landed price. Historical price patterns establish seasonal baselines. No single source tells the whole story, but together they do.

Helios AI treats each signal as an independent model input. We run commodity-specific weighting based on which signals have historically driven price variance for that crop or product. The result is a blended probability distribution rather than a point forecast, giving your team a calibrated range rather than a false-precision number.

See pricing plans
  • Weather Patterns

    NOAA and ECMWF gridded data for primary growing regions. Precipitation anomalies, temperature deviations, and drought index trajectories are scored daily against 30-year historical baselines.

  • Crop Yield Projections

    USDA WASDE monthly reports, weekly crop progress releases, and satellite-derived NDVI indices for key producing regions. Yield revisions from the prior month's WASDE carry the highest single-source weight.

  • Freight Indices

    Baltic Dry Index components, container spot rate benchmarks, and port congestion data from major export terminals. Freight divergence from historical norms is a reliable 6-10 week leading indicator of supply-side price pressure.

  • Spot Price History

    Cash and nearby futures prices for 50+ commodities with seasonality decomposition. Historical patterns identify where current prices sit relative to typical seasonal ranges, anchoring the forecast band.

What a forecast looks like

Each commodity you track gets a card like this in your daily digest, updated every morning before market open.

Corn (CBOT)

Central US cash basis

ELEVATED
Current price band $4.82 - $4.90 / bu
30-day direction Upward bias
Forecast range $4.90 - $5.24 / bu
Weather La Nina signal active
Crop yield Below 5yr avg
Freight Gulf Coast backlogs

Updated daily at 6:00 AM CT. Data through 2026-06-15.

Integrate forecast data into your procurement workflow via API.

Pull supply-risk scores and price-direction bands directly into your ERP, TMS, or procurement dashboard. The Trade tier includes 5,000 API calls per month; Desk includes unlimited access. Documented JSON endpoints for all 50+ commodities.

View API pricing Get Early Access